Publications

Selected publications

Amaral, A., Severnini, E., Mendonca, J., Morgan, M.G., & Fuchs, E.R.H. 2024. The heterogeneous impacts of protectionist policies on post restriction trade patterns: How US priority-rated contracts during COVID affected EU supply chains of medical products. SSRN Working Paper.
Branstetter, L., Glennon, B., & Jensen, J. B. 2018. Knowledge Transfer Abroad: The Role of U.S. Inventors within Global R&D Networks. NBER Working Paper 24453.
Chen, H., Joglekar, A., Rubenstein, Z., Schmerl, B., Fedder, G., de Nijs, J., Garlan, D., Smith, S., and Kara, L.B. 2024. Generative Manufacturing: A requirements and resource-driven approach to part making. Preprint.
Cheng, A.L., Fuchs, E.R.H. & Michalek, J.J. 2024. US industrial policy may reduce electric vehicle battery supply chain vulnerabilities and influence technology choice. Nat Energy 9: 1561–1570.
Combemale, C., Whitefoot, K.S., Ales, L., & Fuchs, E.R.H. 2021. Not all technological change is equal: How the separability of tasks mediates the effect of technology change on skill demand. Industrial and Corporate Change 30(6):1361–87.
Dix-Carneiro, R. & Kovak, B. 2017. Trade Liberalization and Regional Dynamics. American Economic Review 107(10): 1908-46.
Erol, S. and Lee, M.L. 2024. Financial System Architecture and Technological Vulnerability Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, no. 1122, September.
Fischhoff, B. 2025. Bounded Disciplines and Unbounded Problems: A Vision for Management Science. Oxford Academic.
Fuchs, E.R.H. What is a National Technology Strategy and Why the U.S. Needs One. Issues in Science and Technology. Next 75 Years of Science Policy Series. September 9, 2021. Policy Brief
- Fuchs, E.R.H. While missions are important, even more important are new institutions that will cut a path across them. Forum. Industrial Policy’s Comeback. Boston Review | MIT Press. September 15, 2021. Shorter Version
Garin, A. & Rothbaum, J. L. Long-Run Impacts of Public Industrial Investment on Local Development and Economic Mobility: Evidence from World War II. NBER Working Paper 32265.
Gonchar, E. and Combemale, C. and Ramayya, K. 2024. Workforce Insight Tool Methods Report. National Network for Critical Technology Assessment.
Kalathil, N., Morgan, G.M., & Fuchs, E.R.H. 2023. Short-term economic dynamism as a policy tool to address supply shortages during crises. Industrial and Corporate Change.
Morgan, M. G., & Henrion, M. 1990. Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
O’Connor, J., Bhuwalka, K., Michalek, J. J., Olivetti, E., Randall, A., Roth, R., and Whitefoot, K. S. 2024. Battery Materials Supply-Chain Disruptions and U.S. Vehicle Prices. Carnegie Mellon University.

Additional publications by topic

Alderucci, D., Branstetter, L., Hovy, E., Runge, A., Ryskina, M., and Zolas, N. 2024. Quantifying the Impact of AI on Productivity and Labor Demand: Evidence from U.S. Census Microdata. CMU Working Paper.
Brynjolfsson, E., and Mitchell, T. 2017. What Can Machine Learning Do? Workforce Implications. Science, December 22, 2017, 358:6370.
Brynjolfsson, E., and Mitchell, T. (chairs). 2024. Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
Brynjolfsson, E., Mitchell, T., and Rock, D. 2018. What can machines learn and what does it mean for occupations and the economy? AEA papers and proceedings 108, 43-47.

Semiconductors

National Network for Critical Technology Analysis. 2023. Semiconductors. In Securing America’s Future: A Framework for Critical Technology Assessment. Opus Press.
Berger, A., Khan, H., Schrank, A. and Fuchs, E.R.H. 2023. A New Policy Toolbox for Semiconductor Supply Chains. Issues.
Blanton, S., Fuchs, E., Hovy, E., Mai, K., Pileggi, L., and Zhang, P. 2021. Innovation and Chip Redesign to Address Semiconductor Shortages in the Automotive Industry. CMU Working Paper.
Fuchs, E., Kalathil, N., Newkirk, A., Yu, K., and O’Connor, J. 2025. Vulnerabilities in the Semiconductor Supply Chain: The Role of Market Power and Design Specialization. CMU Working Paper.
Gonchar, E., Combemale, C. and Krishnan, R. 2025. Build It and They Will Come? US Regional Labor Composition and Readiness to Meet Skill Demand Shocks from CHIPS and Science. CMU Working Paper.
Khan, H., Hounshell, D.A. and Fuchs, E.R.H. 2018. Science and research policy at the end of Moore’s law. Nature.
Newkirk, A., Fuchs, E.R.H., Samaras, C., Morgan, M.G. (2025). Loss of access to semiconductors is different than loss of access to oil, and policy needs to differ, too. CMU Working Paper.
Blanton, S., Fuchs, E. (Corresponding), Hovy, E., Mai, K. (Corresponding), Pileggi, L., Zhang, P. October 21, 2021. Innovation and Chip Redesign to Address Semiconductor Shortages in the Automotive Industry. Carnegie Mellon University Policy Brief created for the White House National Economic Council. (Corresponding) after the name indicates lead and corresponding authors.
Policy Brief

Optoelectronics

Ales, L., Combemale, C., Fuchs, E. R., & Whitefoot, K. 2024. How it's Made: A General Theory of the Labor Implications of Technology Change. CMU Working Paper.
Combemale, C., Whitefoot, K.S., Ales, L., & Fuchs, E.R.H. 2021. Not all technological change is equal: How the separability of tasks mediates the effect of technology change on skill demand. Industrial and Corporate Change 30(6):1361–87.
Fuchs, E. and Kirchain, R. 2010. Design for Location? The Impact of Manufacturing Offshore on Technology Competitiveness in the Optoelectronics Industry. Management Science 56(12):2323-2349.

Energy

National Network for Critical Technology Analysis. 2023. Energy Storage and Critical Materials. In Securing America’s Future: A Framework for Critical Technology Assessment. Opus Press.
Cheng, A.L., Fuchs, E.R.H., Karplus, V.J., and Michalek, J. 2024. Electric Vehicle Battery Chemistry Affects Supply Chain Disruption Vulnerabilities. Nature Communications 15, no. 2143. DOI:10.1038/s41467-024-46418-1
Cheng, A.L., Fuchs, E.R.H. and Michalek, J.J. 2024. US industrial policy may reduce electric vehicle battery supply chain vulnerabilities and influence technology choice. Nature Energy 9: 1561–1570.
Forsythe, C. R., Gillingham, K. T., Michalek, J. J., & Whitefoot, K. S. 2023. Technology advancement is driving electric vehicle adoption. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
O’Connor, J., Bhuwalka, K., Michalek, J. J., Olivetti, E., Randall, A., Roth, R., and Whitefoot, K. S. 2024. Battery Materials Supply-Chain Disruptions and U.S. Vehicle Prices. CMU Working Paper.

Energy and workforce

Combemale, C., Ferrone, D., Funk, P., Quay, A., & Waldman-Brown, A. 2023. Workforce Analytic Approaches to Find Degrees of Freedom in the EV Transition. CMU Working Paper.
Cotterman, T., Fuchs, E.R., Whitefoot, K.S. and Combemale, C., 2024. The transition to electrified vehicles: Evaluating the labor demand of manufacturing conventional versus battery electric vehicle powertrains. Science Direct. Energy Policy, 188: 114064.
Reolfi, R., Fuchs, E., and Karplus, V. 2023. Anticipating the impacts of light-duty vehicle electrification on the U.S. automotive service workforce. Environmental Research Letters; Bristol Vol. 18, Iss. 3 (Mar 2023). DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/acbb93

Medical supplies

Amaral, A., Morgan, M.G., Mendonça, J. and Fuchs, E.R.H. 2023. National core competencies and dynamic capabilities in times of crisis: Adaptive regulation of new entrants in advanced technology markets. Research Policy, Volume 52, Issue 4.
Amaral, A., Morgan, M.G., Mendonça, J. and Fuchs, E.R.H. 2024. When Should Regulatory Adaptation Be Centralized vs Decentralized? Lessons from COVID on Technological Complexity, Local Capabilities, and Speed. CMU Working Paper.
Amaral, A., Severnini, E., Mendonca, J., Morgan, M.G., & Fuchs, E.R.H. 2024. The heterogeneous impacts of protectionist policies on post restriction trade patterns: How US priority-rated contracts during COVID affected EU supply chains of medical products. CMU Working Paper.
Kalathil, N., Morgan, G.M., & Fuchs, E.R.H. 2023. Short-term economic dynamism as a policy tool to address supply shortages during crises. Industrial and Corporate Change.
Branstetter, Lee (committee member). 2021. NASEM Committee, Proceedings of a workshop. The Security of America's Medical Product Supply Chain: Considerations for Critical Drugs and Devices: Proceedings of a Workshop—in Brief. April 2021.
Policy Brief
Fuchs, E. and Karplus, V. 2021. A New Approach to Coordinate U.S. Critical Supply Chains in Crisis. Insights derived from: “Lessons from COVID medical supply chains for critical technologies: Real-time situational data infrastructure and adaptive manufacturing ecosystems.” Chatham House Rule Workshop. Carnegie Mellon University. September 10, 2021.
Policy Brief | Rapporteurs Report
Fuchs, E., Karplus, V., Kalathil, N., Morgan, G. 2020. To respond to the pandemic, the government needs better data on domestic companies that make critical medical supplies. Issues in Science and Technology. NASEM. December 18, 2020.
Policy Brief
Fuchs, E. and Karplus, V. 2021. A New Approach to Coordinate U.S. Critical Supply Chains in Crisis. Insights derived from: “Lessons from COVID medical supply chains for critical technologies: Real-time situational data infrastructure and adaptive manufacturing ecosystems.” Chatham House Rule Workshop. Carnegie Mellon University. September 10, 2021.
Policy Brief | Rapporteurs Report | Workshop presentation
Fuchs, E., Karplus, V., Kalathil, N., Morgan, G. 2020. To respond to the pandemic, the government needs better data on domestic companies that make critical medical supplies. Issues in Science and Technology. NASEM. December 18, 2020. Policy Brief; Inadequate Data on Manufacturers of Critical Medical Supplies Weakens U.S. Capabilities for Pandemic Response. Testimony. U.S. International Trade Commission. Investigation No. 332-580. COVID-19 Related Goods: The U.S. Industry, Market, Trade, and Supply Chain Challenges. September 23, 2020.
Prehearing Brief | Technical Report