Baruch Fischhoff
Howard Heinz University Professor, Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy & Technology
Baruch Fischhoff, Ph.D., is the Howard Heinz University Professor in the Department Engineering and Public Policy and the Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy & Technology (CMIST) at Carnegie Mellon University. A graduate of the Detroit Public Schools, he holds a BS in mathematics and psychology from Wayne State University and an MA and PhD in psychology from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. He is a member of the National Academy of Sciences and of the National Academy of Medicine. He is past President of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making and of the Society for Risk Analysis, and recipient of its Distinguished Achievement Award.
He has served on some three dozen committees of the National Academies of Science Engineering and Medicine (NASEM), including chairing the Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis and co-chaired the NASEM Committee on Future Research Goals and Directions for Foundational Science in Cybersecurity, and three National Academy of Sciences Colloquia on “The Science of Science Communication." He currently chairs the Committee on Harnessing Social Science to Achieve Timely, Durable, Equitable, and Resilient Energy Transition.
He is a founding member of the Eugene, Oregon Commission on the Rights of Women, Department of Homeland Security's Science and Technology Advisory Committee, the World Federation of Scientists Permanent Monitoring Panel on Terrorism, and the Ice Preservation Institute. He has served on the Environmental Protection Agency Science Advisory Board, where he chaired the Homeland Security Advisory Committee. He was founding chair of the Food and Drug Administration Risk Communication Advisory Committee. He currently serves on the Advisory Council for National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences.
He is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), American Psychological Association (APA), the Association for Psychological Science, the Society of Experimental Psychologists, and the Society for Risk Analysis. He has received APA’s Award for Distinguished Service to Psychology, an honorary Doctorate of Humanities from Lund University, an Andrew Carnegie Fellowship, and Carnegie Mellon's Ryan Award for Teaching, and the College of Engineering Outstanding Mentor Award.
He has co-authored or edited, Acceptable Risk (1981), A Two-State Solution in the Middle East: Prospects and Possibilities (1993), Elicitation of Preferences (2000), Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach (2002), Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow (2011), Intelligence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Science Foundations (2011), Risk: A Very Short Introduction (2011), Communicating Risks and Benefits: An Evidence-Based Guide (2011), Judgment and Decision Making (2011), Risk Analysis and Human Behavior (2011), The Science of Science Communication I (2013), II (2014), and III (2019), Counting Civilian Casualties (2013), Bounded Disciplines and Unbounded Problems (2025), and Decisions (in press).
Fischhoff, B. (2025). Bounded disciplines and unbounded problems (The Clarendon Lectures in Management). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
https://doi.org/10.1093/9780191997266.001.0001; Oxford University Press
Lectures
Selected publications
Selected Publications
In Press
- Fischhoff, B. (in press). Bounded disciplines and unbounded problems (The Clarendon Lectures in Management). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Fischhoff, B. (in press). Decisions: Studying and supporting people making hard decisions. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
- Fischhoff, B. (in press). Fifty years of hindsight bias research. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance. https://doi.org/10.1037/xhp0001232
- Fischhoff, B. (in press). Heuristic assumptions. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. (special issue tribute to Daniel Kahneman). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-024-09437-3
- Yang, Y., Wong-Parodi, G, & Fischhoff, B. (in press). Visual displays for communicating multiple uncertain forecasts. Decision.
2025
- Fischhoff, B. (2025). Bounded disciplines and unbounded problems (The Clarendon Lectures in Management). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
https://doi.org/10.1093/9780191997266.001.0001; Oxford University Press - Fischhoff, B. (2025). Fifty years of hindsight bias research. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 51(2),143-150. https://doi.org/10.1037/xhp0001232
- Krishnamurti, T., White, G., Dewitt, B., Mosley, E., & Fischhoff, B. (2025). Public understanding of the risks and benefits of Mifepristone: A randomized clinical trial. JAMA Network Open. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2829916
- Lipkin, W.I., Danzig, L., & Fischhoff, B. (2025, February 9). Adversarial Collaboration: A pathway for vaccine policy. Pittsburgh-Post Gazette (Insight Section).
2024
- Dunning, R., Fischhoff, B., & Davis, A.L. (2024). When do humans heed AI agents’ advice? When should they? Human Factors. 66(7), 1914-1927. https://doi.org/10.1177/00187208231190459
- Fischhoff, B. (2024). Heuristic assumptions. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. (special issue tribute to Daniel Kahneman). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-024-09437-3
- Fischhoff, B. (2024). Retrospective: Daniel Kahneman (1934-2024). Science, 384(66995), n5151. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adp6405
- Kenny, R., Fischhoff, B., Davis, A., & Canfield, C. (2024). Improving social bot detection through aid and training. Human Factors, 66(10), 2323-2344. https://doi.org/10.1177/00187208231210145
- Kenny, R., Fischhoff, B., Davis, A.L., Carley, K.M., & Canfield, C. (2024). Duped by bots: Why some are better than others at detecting fake social media. Human Factors, 66(1), 88-102. https://doi.org/10.1177/00187208211072642
- MacAyeal, D. R., Mankoff, K., Minchew, B., Moore, J., & Wolovick, M. (2024). Glacial Climate Intervention: A Research Vision. U.S. Antarctic Program (USAP) Data Center. doi: https://doi.org/10.15784/601797 (contributing editor)
- Mohan, D., Arnold, R.M., Fischhoff, B., Elmer, J., Forsythe, R.M., Rak, K.J., Barnes, J.L., & White, D.B. (2024). Inside the black box of deliberate practice: how do coaches coach to improve trauma triage. Journal of Surgical Research, 302, 669-678. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2024.07.114
- Steinberg, A., Yang, Y., Fischhoff, B., Callaway, C., Coppler, P., Gocadin, R., Silbergleit, R., Meurer, W.J., Yeatts, S., & Elmer J. (2024). Clinicians' approach to predicting post-cardiac arrest outcomes for patients enrolled in a United States clinical trial. Resuscitation, 1199., 110226 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2024.110226
2023
- COVID Crisis Group. (2023). Lessons from the COVID War: An investigative report. New York: Public Affairs. One of 35 members. Philip Zelikow, lead author. https://www.hachettebookgroup.com/titles/covid-crisis-group/lessons-from-the-covid-war/9781541703803/?lens=publicaffairs
- Fischhoff, B., Cetron, M., & Jetelina, K. (2023). Do masks work? Randomized controlled trials are the worst way to answer the question. STAT. https://www.
statnews.com/2023/05/02/do- masks-work-rcts-randomized- controlled-trials/ - Fischhoff, B., Woloshin, S., Krishnamurti, T., & Dewitt, B. (2023). Patients may finally receive practical information about prescriptions – if the FDA doesn’t blow it. STAT. https://www.
statnews.com/2023/09/12/fda- prescription-information-one- pagers/ - Grayek, E., Krishnamurti, T., Davis, A.L., Hu, L., Babich, O., Warren, K., & Fischhoff, B. (2023). Collection and analysis of adherence information for software as a medical device clinical trials: A systematic review. JMIR mHealth and uHealth, 11:e46237. https://mhealth.
jmir.org/2023/1/e46237 - Haward, M.F., Lorenz, J.M., Janvier, A., & Fischhoff, B. (2023). Antenatal consultation and deliberation: Adapting to patients’ preferences. Journal of Perinatology. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41372-023-01605-8
- Kleeman, H., Fischhoff, B., & Armanios, D.E. (2023). Effects of redesigning the communication of low-income residential energy efficiency programs in the U.S. Energy Policy, 178, 113568. https://doi.org/10.
1016/j.enpol.2023.113568 - Morgan, K., & Fischhoff, B. (2023). Mental models for scientists communicating with the public. Issues in Science and Technology 39(2), 58-61. https://issues.org/mental-models-scientists-risk-communication-morgan-fischhoff/
- Rodriguez, V.L., Fischhoff, B., & Davis, A.L. (2023). Risk heatmaps as visual displays: Opening movie studios after the COVID-19 shutdown. Risk Analysis, 43, 1356-1359. https://
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/ epdf/10.1111/risa.14017 - Woloshin, S., Yang, Y., & Fischhoff, B. (2023). Communicating health information with visual displays: An illustrated design guide. Nature Medicine. https://www.nature.
com/articles/s41591-023-02328- 1
2022
- Drummond Otten, C., & Fischhoff, B. (2022). Calibration of scientific reasoning ability. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bdm.2306
- Grayek, E.N., Fischhoff, B., Davis, A.L., & Krishnamurti, T. (2022). The value of adherence information during clinical pharmaceutical trials. Clinical Trials, 19(3), 326-336. https://doi.org/10.1177/17407745221084127
- Grayek, E., Yang, Y., Fischhoff, B., Schifferdecker, K.E., Woloshin, S., Kerlikowski, K., Miglioretti, D., & Tosteson, A. (2022). A procedure for eliciting women’s preferences for breast cancer screening frequency. Medical Decision Making, 42(6), 783-794. https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989X211073
- Greenberg, M., & Lowrie, K. (2022). Baruch Fischhoff: Creating, testing, and communicating theories about risk perception, public preferences, and communication. Risk Analysis, 42, 1895-1899. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13996.
- Woloshin, S., Dewitt, B., Krishnamurti, T., & Fischhoff, B. (2022). Assessing how consumers interpret and act on results from at-home COVID-19 self-test kits: A randomized clinical trial. JAMA Internal Medicine, 182(3), 332-341. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2788656
2021
- Drummond, C., & Fischhoff, B. (2021). Assessing broader impacts of funded research: The United States National Science Foundation vs. Rep. Lamar Smith. Science and Public Policy. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/scipol/scab082
- Fischhoff, B. (2021). The COVID communication breakdown. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2021-10-04/covid-communication-breakdown
- Fischhoff, B. (2021). Making behavioral science integral to climate science and action. Behavioural Public Policy, 5(4) 439-453. https://www.doi.org/10.1017/bpp.2020.38
- Fischhoff, B., Dewitt, B., Sahlin, N-E., & Davis, A.L. (2021). A secure procedure for early career scientists to report apparent misconduct. Life Sciences, Society and Policy. doi: 10.1186/s40504-020-00110-6 [https://rdcu.be/cd838]
- Fischhoff, B., Gamble, V.N., & Shoch-Spana, M. (2021). Understanding and communicating about COVID-19 vaccine efficacy, effectiveness, and equity. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. https://www.nap.edu/26154
- Garfin, D.R., Fischhoff, B., Holman, E.A., & Silver, R.C. (2021). Risk perceptions and health behaviors as COVID-19 in the United States: Results from a probability-based nationally representative sample. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 27, 584-598. doi: 10.1037/xap0000374
- Haward, M.F., Lorenz, J.M., Janvier, A., & Fischhoff, B. (2021). Bereaved parents’ insights for the antenatal consultation. American Journal of Perinatology. https://doi.org/10.1055/s-0041-1731651
- Mohan, D., Chang, C.-C., Fischhoff, B., Rosengart, M.R., Angus, D.C., Yealy, D.M., & Barnato, A.E. (2021). Outcome of a digital behavioral intervention to improve trauma triage: analysis of Medicare claims. Journal of Surgical Research, 268, 532-539. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2021.07.029
2020
- Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A.M., & Fischhoff, B. (2020). Decision making competence: More than intelligence? Current Directions in Psychological Science, 29(2), 186-192.
- Fischhoff, B. (2020). Making decisions in a COVID-19 world. JAMA, 323(22). doi:10.1001/jama.2020.10178
- Fischhoff, B. (2020). The microbiomes of gut-level decisions. CQ (Critical Quarterly), 62(1), 30--37. doi.org/10.1111/criq.12525
- Fischhoff, B., & Broomell, S.B. (2020). Judgment and decision making. Annual Review of Psychology, 71. 331-355. doi: 10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-050747 http://www.annualreviews.org/eprint/KXBRW9TWBZZ9X2TFHJJY/full/10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-050747
- NASEM. (2020). Framework for equitable allocation of covid-19 vaccine. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press https://www.nap.edu/25917
- NASEM. (2020). Rapid expert consultation on the effectiveness of fabric masks for the COVID-19 pandemic (letter report). R. Besser & B. Fischhoff, authors. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. https://www.nap.edu/25776
- Soares-Weiser, K., Lasserson, T., Jorgensen, K.J., Woloshin, S., Bero, L., Brown, B., & Fischhoff, B. (2020). Policy makers must act on incomplete evidence in responding to COVID-19 (Editorial). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, (11), ED000149 https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.ED000149
- World Health Organization. (2020). The importance of testing messages. Fiona Fleck interviews Baruch Fischhoff. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 98, 516-517.
2019
- Arnold, J., Davis, A.L., Fischhoff, B., ...., & Hanmer, J.Z. (2019). Comparing the predictive ability of a commercial artificial intelligence early warning system with physician judgment for clinical deterioration in hospitalized general internal medicine patients, a prospective observational study. BMJ Open, 9, e032187. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2019-03218
- Canfield, C., Fischhoff, B., & Davis, A.L. (2019). Better beware: Comparing metacognition for phishing and legitimate emails. Metacognition and Learning, 14(3), 343-362. doi:10.1007/s11409-019-09197-5
- Dewitt, D., Fischhoff, B., Davis, A.L., Broomell, S.B., Roberts, M., Hanmer, J. (2019). Exclusion criteria as measurements I: Identifying invalid responses. Medical Decision Making, 39(6), 693-703. doi: 10.1177/0272989X19856617
- Dewitt, D., Fischhoff, B., Davis, A.L., Broomell, S.B., Roberts, M., Hanmer, J. (2019). Exclusion criteria as measurements II: Effects on utility curves. Medical Decision Making, 39(6), 704-716. soe: 10.1177/0272989X19862542
- Dewitt, B., Fischhoff, B., & Sahlin, N-E. (2019). “Moral machine” experiment is no basis for policy making (Correspondence). Nature, 567, 31.https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00766-x
- Fischhoff, B., & Barnato, A.E. (2019). Value awareness: A goal for end-of-life decision making. Medical Decision Making Policy and Practice. doi: 10.1177/2381468318817523
- Fischhoff, B. (2019). Evaluating science communication. PNAS, 116(16), 7670-7675. www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1805863115
- Fischhoff, B. (2019). Tough calls. Scientific American, 321(3), 74-79. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/when-assessing-novel-risks-facts-are-not-enough
- Kulkarni, S., Dewitt, B., Fischhoff, B., Rosengart, M.R., Angus, D.C., Saul, M., Yealy, D.M., & Mohan, D. (2019). Defining the representativeness heuristic in trauma triage: a retrospective observational cohort study. PLOSOne 14(2): e0212201. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212201
- Yang, Y., Wong-Parodi, G., & Fischhoff. (2019). "How Stable Are Preferences among Emerging Electricity Generation Technologies." Environmental Research Communications, 1(7). https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ab2ec0
- Yu, M., Krishnamurti, T., & Fischhoff, B. (2019). Implementing a new Common Rule requirement for informed consent: A randomized trial on adult asthma patients. Medical Decision Making Policy and Practice. doi: 10.1177/2381468319839315
2018
Canfield, C., & Fischhoff, B. (2018). Setting priorities for behavioral interventions: An application to reducing phishing risks. Risk Analysis, 38(4),826-838. doi: 10.1111/risa.12917
Fischhoff, B., Wong-Parodi, G., Garfin, D., Holman, E.A., & Silver, R. (2018). Public understanding of Ebola risks: Mastering an unfamiliar threat. Risk Analysis, 38(1), 71-83. doi: 10.1111/risa.12794
Mohan, D., Fischhoff, B., Angus, D.C., Rosengart, M.R., Wallace, D.J., Yealy, D.M., Farris, C., Chang, C.-C.H., Kerti, S., & Barnato, A.E. (2018). Serious video games may improve physicians’ heuristics in trauma triage. PNAS, 115(37), 9204-9209. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1805450115.
Parker, A.M., Bruine de Bruin, W., Fischhoff, B., & Weller, J. (2018). Robustness of decision-making competence: Evidence from two measures and an 11-year longitudinal study. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 31, 380-391. doi: 10.1002/bdm.2059
2017
- Atran, S., Axelrod, R., Davis, R., & Fischhoff, B. (2017). Challenges in researching terrorism from the field. Science, 355(6323), 352-354. doi: 10.1126/science.aaj2037
- Bruine de Bruin, A., & Fischhoff, B. (2017). Eliciting probabilistic expectations: Collaborations between psychologists and economists. PNAS, 114(13), 3297-3304. doi/10.1073/pnas.1615461114
- Canfield, C., Davis, A.L., Fischhoff, B., Forget, A., Pearman, S., & Thomas, J. (2017). Replication: Challenges in using data logs to validate phishing detection ability metrics. Symposium on Usable Privacy and Security (SOUPS) 2017. https://www.usenix.org/conference/soups2017/technical-sessions/presentation/canfield
- Dewitt, B., Fischhoff, B., Davis, A.L., & Hanmer, J. (2017). An approach to reconciling competing ethical principles in aggregating heterogeneous health preferences. Medical Decision Making, 37, 647-656. doi: 10.1177/0272989X17696999
- Drummond, C., & Fischhoff, B. (2017). Individuals with greater science literacy and education have more polarized beliefs on controversial science topics. PNAS, 114, 9587-9592. doi:10.1073/pnas.1704882114
- Drummond, C., & Fischhoff, B. (2017). Development and validation of the Scientific Reasoning Scale. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 30(1), 26-38. doi: 10.1002/bdm.1906
- Fischhoff, B. (2017). Breaking ground for psychological science: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration. American Psychologist, 72(2). 118-125. doi.org/10.1037/a0040438
- Haward, M., Janvier, A., Lorenz, J.M., & Fischhoff, B. (2017). Counseling parents at risk of delivery of an extremely premature infant: Differing strategies. American Journal of Bioethics – Empirical Methods,8(4), 243-252. doi: 10.1080/23294515.2017.1394399
- Klein, O., Hegarty, P., & Fischhoff, B. (2017). Hindsight forty years on. Memory Studies, 10(3), 249-260.
- Krishnamurti, T., Davis, A.L., Wong-Parodi, G., Fischhoff, B., Sadovsky, Y., & Simhan, H. (2017). MyHealthyPregnancy: A feasibility pilot of a behavioral decision research-based tool for assessing and communicating pregnancy risk. JMIR mHealth uHealth, 5(4), e 42. doi:10.2196/mhealth.7036
- Mohan, D., Farris, C., Fischhoff, B., Rosengart, M.R., et al.. (2017). Testing the efficacy of a video game vs. a traditional education program at improving physician decision making in trauma triage: a randomized controlled trial. BMJ, 359, j5416. doi: MJ2017;359:j5416
2016
- Canfield, C., Fischhoff, B., & Davis, A.L. (2016). Quantifying phishing susceptibility for detection and behavior decisions. Human Factors, 58(8), 1158-1172. doi: 10.1177/0018720816665025
- Wong-Parodi, G., Krishnamurti, T., Davis, A.L., Schwartz, D., & Fischhoff, B. (2016). Integrating social science in climate and energy solutions: A decision science approach. Nature Climate Change, 6, 563-569. doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2917
2015
- Dewitt, B., Fischhoff, B., Davis, A.L., & Broomell, S. (2015). Environmental risk perception from visual cues: Caution and sensitivity in evaluating tornado risks. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 124009. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124009
- Fischhoff, B. (2015). The realities of risk-cost-benefit analysis. Science, 350(6260), 527. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa6516.
- Fischhoff, B. (2015). Risk perception and communication. In R. Detels, M. Gulliford, Karim, Q.A., & Tan, C.C. (eds.), Oxford Textbook of Public Health, Sixth Edition (7.5). Oxford: Oxford University Press. doi: 10.1093/med/9780199661756.003.0138
- Krishnamurti, T., Woloshin, S., Schwartz, L.M., & Fischhoff, B. (2015). A randomized trial testing FDA "breakthrough" language. JAMA Internal Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.5355
- Wong-Parodi, G., & Fischhoff, B. (2015). The impacts of political cues and practical information on climate change decisions. Environmental Research Letters, 10. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/034004.
2014
- Davis, A.L., & Fischhoff, B. (2014). Communicating uncertain experimental evidence. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 40, 261-274.s
- Fischhoff, B., & Davis, A.L. (2014). Communicating scientific uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111 (Supplement 4), 13664-13671.
- Mohan, D., Fischhoff, B., Farris, C., Switzer, G.E., et al. (2014). Validating a vignette-based instrument to study physician decision making in trauma triage. Medical Decision Making, 32, 242-252.
- Wong-Parodi, G., Fischhoff, B., & Strauss, B. (2014). A method to evaluate the usability of interactive climate change impact decision aids. Climatic Change, 126, 485-493. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-014-1226-9
2013
- Davis, A.L., Krishnamurti, T., Fischhoff, B., & Bruine de Bruin, W. (2013). Setting a standard for electricity pilot studies. Energy Policy, 62, 401-409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.093
- Fischhoff, B. (2013). The sciences of science communication. PNAS, 110 (Supplement 3), 14033-14039. doi/10.1073/pnas.1213273110
- Halpern, B.S., Longo, C., McLeod, K.L., Cooke, R., Fischhoff, B., Samhouri, J.F., & Scarborough. (2013). Elicited preferences for components of ocean health in the California Current. Marine Policy, 42(1), 68-73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2013.01.019
- Kadane, J.B., & Fischhoff, B. (2013). A cautionary note on global recalibration. Judgment and Decision Making, 8(1), 25-28.
- Krishnamurti, T., & Fischhoff, B. (2013, May 22). Teenagers can handle Plan B. Pittsburgh Post Gazette.
- Schwartz, D., Fischhoff, B., Krishnamurti, T., & Sowell, F. (2013). The Hawthorne Effect and energy awareness. PNAS, 110(38), 15242-15246. doi/10.1073/pnas.1301687110
2012
- Farris, C. & Fischhoff, B. (2012). A decision science informed approach to sexual risk and non-consent. Clinical and Translational Science, 5, 482-485.
- Fischhoff, B. (2012, Summer). Communicating uncertainty: Fulfilling the duty to inform. Issues in Science and Technology, 29, 63-70.
- Fischhoff, B. (2012). Good decisions require good communication. Drug Safety, 35, 983-993.
- Fischhoff, B. (2012). Robyn Mason Dawes (1936-2010). American Psychologist, 67, 319-320.
- Fischhoff, B., & Eggers, S. (2012). Questions of competence: The duty to inform and the limits to choice. In E. Shafir (ed.), The behavioral foundations of policy (pp. 217-230). Princeton: Princeton University Press.
2011
- Fischhoff, B. (2011). Communicating the risks of terrorism (and anything else). American Psychologist, 66, 520-531.
- Fischhoff, B., Brewer, N., & Downs, J.S. (eds.). (2011). Communicating risks and benefits: An evidence-based user’s guide. Washington, DC: Food and Drug Administration.
- Fischhoff, B., & Chauvin, C. (eds.). (2011). Intelligence analysis: Behavioral and social science foundations. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
- Fischhoff, B., & Kadvany, J. (2011). Risk: A very short introduction. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Fischhoff, B. (2011). The emotions of the nuclear experts. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
- National Research Council. (2011). Intelligence analysis for tomorrow. Washington, DC: Author (Consensus Report).
- Pidgeon, N., & Fischhoff, B. (2011). The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks. Nature Climate Change, 1(1), 35-41.
- Silver, R.C., & Fischhoff, B. (2011). What should we expect after the next attack? American Psychologist, 66, 567-572.
2010
- Fischhoff, B. (2010). Judgment and decision making. Wily Interdisciplinary Reviews: Cognitive Science. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Fischhoff, B., Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A.M., Millstein, S.G, & Halpern-Felsher, B.L. (2010). Adolescents' perceived risk of dying. Journal of Adolescent Health, 46(3), 265-269.
- Kaptan, G., & Fischhoff, B. (2010). Sticky decisions: Peanut butter in a time of Salmonella. Emerging Infectious Disease, 16, 900-904.
2009
- Bruine de Bruin, W., Güvenç, Ü., Fischhoff, B., Armstrong, C.M., & Caruso, D. (2009). Communicating about xenotransplanation: Models and scenarios. Risk Analysis, 29(8), 1105-1115.
- Fischhoff, B. (2009, 17 February). The nuclear energy industry's communication problem. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
- Fischhoff, B., & Morgan, M.G. (2009). The science and practice of risk ranking. Horizons, 10(3), 40-47.
2008
- Casman, E. & Fischhoff, B. (2008). Risk communication planning for the aftermath of a plague bioattack. Risk Analysis, 28(5), 1327-42.
- Downs, J. S., Bruine de Bruin, W., & Fischhoff, B. (2008). Parents' vaccination comprehension and decisions. Vaccine, 26, 1595-1607.
- Fischhoff, B. (2008). Assessing adolescent decision-making competence. Developmental Review, 28, 12-28.
- Fischhoff, B., Atran, S., & Sageman, M. (2008) Mutually Assured Support: A Security Doctrine for Terrorist Nuclear Weapon Threats. In R. Clarke (ed.), Terrorism Briefing for the New President, Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 618, 160-167.
- Krishnamurti, T.P., Eggers, S.L., & Fischhoff, B. (2008). The impact of over-the-counter availability of "Plan B" on teens' contraceptive decision making. Social Science and Medicine, 67, 618-627.
2007
- Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A., & Fischhoff, B. (2007) Individual Differences in Adult Decision-Making Competence (A-DMC). Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 92, 938-956.
- Fischhoff, B. (2007). Communicating with the public: Before, during, and after emergencies. (in Chinese) China Emergency Management, 16-19.
- Fischhoff, B. (2007). Non-Persuasive Communication about Matters of Greatest Urgency: Climate Change. Environmental Science & Technology, 41, 7204-7208.
- Fischhoff, B. (2007). An early history of hindsight research. Social Cognition, 25, 10-13.
- Fischhoff, B., Atran, S., & Fischhoff, N. (2007). Counting casualties: A framework for respectful, useful records. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 34, 1-19.
- Florig, K., & Fischhoff, B. (2007). Individuals’ decisions affecting radiation exposure after a nuclear event. Health Physics, 92, 475-483. https://doi.org/10.1097/01.HP.0000255660.33000.a6
- National Research Council. (2007). Risk comparisons. Scientific Reviews of the Proposed Risk Assessment Bulletin from the Office of Management and Budget (pp.37-8). Washington, DC: National Academies Press.
- Parker, A.M., Bruine de Bruin, W., & Fischhoff. B. (2007). Maximizers vs. satisficers: Decision-making styles, competence and outcomes. Judgment and Decision Making, 2(6), 342-350. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1930297500000486
- Apt, J. & Fischhoff, B. (2006). Power and people. Electricity Journal, 19(9), 17-25.
- Bruine de Bruin, W., Fischhoff, B., Brilliant, L., & Caruso, D. (2006). Expert judgments of pandemic influenza risks. Global Public Health 1(2), 178-193.
- Fischhoff, B. (2006, May). Communication: Getting straight talk right. Harvard Business Review, 8. https://hbr.org/2006/05/preparing-for-a-pandemic#post6
- Fischhoff, B. (2006, May). Modeling: Visualizing your vulnerabilities. Harvard Business Review, 8-11. https://hbr.org/2006/05/preparing-for-a-pandemic#post7
- Fischhoff, B., Bruine de Bruin, W., Guvenc, U., Caruso, D., & Brilliant, L. (2006). Analyzing disaster risks and plans: An avian flu example. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 33, 133-151.
2005
- Fischhoff, B. (2005). Cognitive processes in stated preference methods. In K-G. Maler & J. Vincent (Eds.), Handbook of Environmental Economics (pp. 937-968). Amsterdam: Elsevier.
- Fischhoff, B. (2005). Decision research strategies. Health Psychology, 21(4), S1-S8.
- Fischhoff, B. (2005, August 7). A hero in every aisle seat. New York Times. Retrieved from http://www.nytimes.com/
- Fischhoff, B. (2005). Thinking about the indeterminate. Review of R.A. Posner, Catastrophe: Risk and Response, (New York: Oxford University Press). Issues in Science and Technology, 21(4), 82-84.
- Fischhoff, B. (2005, October 2). We need the right words to weather the storm. Washington Post. Retrieved from http://www.washingtonpost.com/
- Fischhoff, B. (2005), President's columns from the Society for Risk Analysis RISK Newsletter.
- Fischhoff, B., Gonzalez, R.M., Lerner, J.S., & Small, D.A. (2005). Evolving judgments of terror risks: Foresight, hindsight, and emotion. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 11, 124-139. https://doi.org/10.1037/1076-898X.11.2.124
- Parker, A. & Fischhoff, B. (2005). Decision-making competence: External validation through an individual-differences approach. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 18, 1-27.
2004
- Downs, J. S. Murray, P. J., Bruine de Bruin, W., White, J. P., Palmgren, C., & Fischhoff, B. (2004). An interactive video program to reduce adolescent females' STD risk: A randomized controlled trial. Social Science and Medicine, 59, 1561-1572.
- Eggers, S.L., & Fischhoff, B. (2004). Setting Policies for Consumer Communications: A Behavioral Decision Research Approach. Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, 23, 14-27.
2003
- Gregory, R., Fischhoff, B., Butte, G., & Thorne, S. (2003). A multi-channel stakeholder consultation process for transmission deregulation. Energy Policy, 31, 1291-9.
- Fischhoff, B., Gonzalez, R., Small, D., & Lerner, J. (2003). Evaluating the success of terror risk communications. Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science, 1(4), 255-258.
- Fischhoff, B., & Wesseley, S. (2003). Managing patients with inexplicable health problems. British Medical Journal, 326, 595-597.
2002
- Bruine de Bruin, W., Fischbeck, P.S., Stiber, N.A., & Fischhoff, B. (2002). What number is “fifty-fifty”? Distributing excessive 50% responses in elicited probabilities. Risk Analysis, 22, 725-735. https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.00063
- Löfstedt, R., Fischhoff, B., & Fischhoff, I. (2002). Precautionary principles: General definitions and specific applications to genetically modified organisms (GMOs). Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 21, 381-407.
2001
- Florig, H.K., Morgan, M.G., Morgan, K.M., Jenni, K.E., Fischhoff, B., Fischbeck, P.S., & DeKay, M. (2001). A deliberative method for ranking risks (1): Overview and test bed development. Risk Analysis, 21, 913-922. https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.215161
- Morgan, K.M., DeKay, M.L., Fischbeck, P.S., Morgan, M.G., Fischhoff, B., & Florig, H.K. (2001). A deliberative method for ranking risks (2): Evaluation of validity and agreement among risk managers. Risk Analysis, 21, 923-938. https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.215162
- Riley, D.M., Fischhoff, B., Small, M., & Fischbeck, P. (2001). Evaluating the effectiveness of risk-reduction strategies for consumer chemical products. Risk Analysis, 21, 357-369. https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.212117
2000
- Fischhoff, B. (2000). Scientific management of science? Policy Sciences, 33, 73-87.
- Fischhoff, B., Parker, A., Bruine de Bruin, W., Downs, J., Palmgren, C., Dawes, R.M., & Manski, C. (2000). Teen expectations for significant life events. Public Opinion Quarterly, 64, 189-205.
- Long, J., & Fischhoff, B. (2000). Setting risk priorities: A formal model. Risk Analysis, 20, 339-351. https://doi.org/10.1111/0272-4332.203033
- Woloshin, S., Schwartz, L.M., Byram, S.J., Sox, H.C., Fischhoff, B., & Welch, H.G. (2000) Women's understanding of the mammography screening debate. Archives of Internal Medicine, 160(10), 1434-40.
1999
- Fischhoff, B. (1999). What do patients want? Help in making effective choices. Effective Clinical Practice, 2, 198-200.
- Fischhoff, B. (1999). Why (cancer) risk communication can be hard. Journal of the National Cancer Institute Monographs, 25, 7-13. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.jncimonographs.a024213
- Fischhoff, B., Welch, N., & Frederick, S. (1999). Construal processes in preference elicitation. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 19, 139-164. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007823326511
1998
- Fischhoff, B., Downs, J., & Bruine de Bruin, W. (1998). Adolescent vulnerability: A framework for behavioral interventions. Applied and Preventive Psychology, 7, 77-94.
- Frederick, S. & Fischhoff, B. (1998). Scope insensitivity in elicited values. Risk Decision and Policy, 3, 109-124.
1996
- Fischhoff, B. (1996). The real world: What good is it? Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65, 232-248.
1995
- Fischhoff, B. (1995). Risk perception and communication unplugged: Twenty years of process. Risk Analysis, 15, 137-145.
1994
- Bostrom, A., Atman, C.J., Fischhoff, B., & Morgan, M.G. (1994). Evaluating risk communications: Completing and correcting mental models of hazardous processes. Part 2. Risk Analysis, 14, 789-798. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00290.x
- Bostrom, A., Morgan, M.G., Fischhoff, B. & Read, D. (1994). What do people know about global climate change? Part 1. Mental models. Risk Analysis, 14, 959-970. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00065.x
- Fischhoff, B. (1994). Acceptable risk: A conceptual proposal. Risk: Health, Safety & Environment, 1, 1-28.
- Fischhoff, B. (1994). What forecasts (seem to) mean. International Journal of Forecasting, 10, 387-403.
- Read, D., Bostrom, A., Morgan, M.G., Fischhoff, B., & Smuts, T. (1994). What do people know about global climate change? Part 2. Survey studies of educated laypeople. Risk Analysis, 14, 971-982. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00066.x
1993
- Fischhoff, B. (1993). Transaction analysis: A framework and an application to insurance decisions. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 7, 53-69.
- Maharik, M., & Fischhoff, B. (1993). Public views of using nuclear energy sources in space missions. Space Policy, 9, 99-108. https://doi.org/10.1016/0265-9646(93)90023-3
- Quadrel, M.J., Fischhoff, B., & Davis, W. (1993). Adolescent (in)vulnerability. American Psychologist, 48, 102-116. https://doi.org/10.1037/0003-066X.48.2.102
1992
- Bostrom, A., Fischhoff, B., & Morgan, M.G. (1992). Characterizing mental models of hazardous processes: A methodology and an application to radon. Journal of Social Issues, 48(4), 85-100. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-4560.1992.tb01946.x
- Fischhoff, B. (1992). Giving advice: Decision theory perspectives on sexual assault. American Psychologist,47(4), 577-588.
1991
- Beyth-Marom, R., Fischhoff, B., Quadrel, M.J., & Furby, L. (1991). Teaching adolescents decision making. In J. Baron & R. Brown (Eds.) Teaching decision making to adolescents (pp. 19-60). London, UK: Routledge
- Fischhoff, B. (1991). Value elicitation: Is there anything in there? American Psychologist, 46(8), 835-847.
1990
- Fischhoff, B. (1990). Psychology and public policy: Tool or tool maker? American Psychologist, 45, 657-663.
- Roth, E., Morgan, G., Fischhoff, B., Lave, L., & Bostrom, A. (1990). What do we know about making risk comparisons? Risk Analysis, 10, 375-387. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1990.tb00520.x
1989
- Furby, L., Fischhoff, B., & Morgan, M. (1989). Judged effectiveness of common rape prevention and self-defense strategies. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 4, 44-64
- Fischhoff, B. (1989). Risk: A guide to controversy. Appendix to National Research Council. Improving risk communications (pp. 211-319).Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
- Fischhoff, B., Kotovsky, K., Tuma, H. & Bielak, J. (eds.) (1993). A two-state solution in the Middle East: Prospects & possibilities. Pittsburgh:
Carnegie Mellon University Press.
1988
- Blackshaw, L., & Fischhoff, B. (1988). Decision making in online search. Journal of American Society for Information Sciences, 39, 369-389. https://www.learntechlib.org/p/140533/
- Fischhoff, B. & Furby, L. (1988). Measuring values: A conceptual framework for interpreting transactions with special reference to contingent valuation of visibility. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1, 147-184
- Furby, L., Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B., & Gregory, R. (1988). Public perceptions of electric power transmission lines. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 8(1), 19-43. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0272-4944(88)80021-5
1987
- Fischhoff, B., MacGregor, D., & Blackshaw, L. (1987). Creating categories for databases. International Journal of Man-Machine Systems, 27, 33-63.
1986
- Henrion, M. & Fischhoff, B. (1986). Assessing uncertainty in physical constants. American Journal of Physics, 54, 791-798
1985
- Svenson, O., & Fischhoff, B. (1985). Levels of environmental decisions. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 5, 55-68. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0272-4944(85)80038-4
1984
- Fischhoff, B., Watson, S., & Hope, C. (1984). Defining risk. Policy Sciences, 17, 123-139.
- Fischhoff, B. (1984). Setting standards: A systematic approach to managing public health and safety risks. Management Science, 30, 823-843.
- Fischhoff, B. & Bar-Hillel, M. (1984). Diagnosticity and the base-rate effect. Memory and Cognition, 12, 402-410. https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03198301
- Fischhoff, B. & Bar-Hillel, M. (1984). Focusing techniques: A shortcut to improving probability judgments? Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 34(2), 175-191. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(84)90002-3
- Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., Page, R.T., & MacLean, D. (1984). Editorial. Nuclear power: Time for detente. Risk Analysis, 4, 153. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1984.tb00133.x
- Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., & Fischhoff, B. (1984). Modeling the societal impact of fatal accidents. Management Science, 30, 464-474. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.30.4.464
1983
- Fischhoff, B. (1983). Acceptable risk: The case of nuclear power. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2, 559-575.
- Fischhoff, B. (1983). Predicting frames. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning Memory & Cognition, 9, 113-116.
- Fischhoff, B. & Beyth-Marom, R. (1983). Hypothesis evaluation from a Bayesian perspective. Psychological Review, 90, 239-260. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.90.3.239
- Fischhoff, B. & Furby, L. (1983). Psychological dimensions of climatic change. In R. S. Chen, E. Boulding and S. H. Schneider (Eds.), Social science research and climate change (pp. 183-203). Dordrecht, Holland: D. Reidel.
- Fischhoff, B. & MacGregor, D. (1983). Judged lethality: How much people seem to know depends upon how they are asked. Risk Analysis, 3, 229-236. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1983.tb01391.x
1982
- Fischhoff, B. (1982). Debiasing. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 422-444). New York: Cambridge University Press.
- Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S. (1982). Lay foibles and expert fables in judgments about risk. American Statistician, 1982, 36, 240-255; https://doi.org/10.2307/2683835
- Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Phillips, L.D. (1982). Calibration of probabilities: State of the art to 1980. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (eds.), Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (pp. 306-334). New York: Cambridge University Press
- Slovic, P. & Fischhoff, B. (1982). Targeting risks: Comments on Wilde's "Theory of Risk Homeostasis." Risk Analysis, 2, 227-234. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1982.tb01385.x
- Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B. & Lichtenstein, S. (1982). Why study risk perceptions? Risk Analysis, 2, 83-93. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1982.tb01369.x
1981
- Bar-Hillel, M & Fischhoff, B. (1981). When do base rates affect predictions? Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 41, 671-680. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.41.4.671
- Fischhoff, B. (1981). Hot air: The psychology of CO2-induced climatic change. In J. Harvey (Ed.), Cognition, social behavior and the environment (pp. 163-184). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum.
1980
- Fischhoff, B. (1980). Clinical decision analysis. Operations Research, 28, 28-43. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.1.28
- Fischhoff, B. (1980). For those condemned to study the past: Reflections on historical judgment. In R. A. Shweder and D. W. Fiske (Eds.), New Directions for Methodology of Social and Behavioral Science, (4) pp. 79-93. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.
- Koriat, A., Lichtenstein, S. & Fischhoff, B. (1980). Reasons for confidence. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory, 6, 107-118. https://doi.org/10.1037/0278-7393.6.2.107
- Lichtenstein, S. & Fischhoff, B. (1980). Training for calibration. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 26, 149-171. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(80)90052-5
- Murphy, A.H., Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., & Winkler, R.L. (1980). Misinterpretations of precipitation probability forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 61, 695-701. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26221118
1979
- Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S. (1979). Subjective sensitivity analysis. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 23, 339-359. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(79)90002-3
- Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S. (1979). Weighing the risks. Environment, 21(5), 17-20, 32-38. https://doi.org/10.1080/00139157.1979.9929722
- Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B. & Lichtenstein, S. (1979). Rating the risks. Environment, 21(4), 14-20, 36-39. https://doi.org/10.1080/00139157.1979.9933091
1978
- Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S. (1978). Fault trees: Sensitivity of assessed failure probabilities to problem representation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 4, 330-344. https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.4.2.330
- Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., Read, S. & Combs, B. (1978). How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits. Policy Sciences, 9(2), 127-152.
- Lichtenstein, S., Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B, Layman, M. & Combs, B. (1978). Judged frequency of lethal events. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory, 4, 551-578. . https://doi.org/10.1037/0278-7393.4.6.551
1977
- Beyth-Marom, R. & Fischhoff, B. (1977). Direct measures of availability and judgments of category frequency. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 9, 236-238. https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03336986
- Fischhoff, B. (1977). Cost-benefit analysis and the art of motorcycle maintenance. Policy Sciences, 8(2), 177-202.
- Fischhoff, B. (1977). Perceived informativeness of facts. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 3, 349-358. https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.3.2.349
- Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P. & Lichtenstein, S. (1977). Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 3, 552-564. https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.3.4.552
- Lichtenstein, S. & Fischhoff, B. (1977). Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? The calibration of probability judgments. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 20, 159-183. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(77)90001-0
- Slovic, P. & Fischhoff, B. (1977). On the psychology of experimental surprises. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 3, 544-551.
- Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B., Lichtenstein, S., Corrigan, B. & Combs, B. (1977). Preference for insuring against probable small losses: Implications for the theory and practice of insurance. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 44, 237-258. https://doi.org/10.2307/252136
- Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B. & Lichtenstein, S. (1977). Behavioral decision theory. Annual Review of Psychology, 28, 1-39. http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ps.28.020177.000245
1976
- Fischhoff, B. & Beyth, R. (1974). Failure has many fathers. Review of I. Janis, Victims of Groupthink: A psychological study of foreign-policy decisions and fiascoes. Reprinted (1976) in Policy Sciences, 7(3), 388-393.
1975
- Fischhoff, B. & Beyth, R. (1975). "I knew it would happen"--Remembered probabilities of once-future things. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 13, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/0030-5073(75)90002-1
- Fischhoff, B. (1975). Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1(3), 288-299.
1974
- Koriat, A. & Fischhoff, B. (1974). What day is today? An inquiry into the process of time orientation. Memory and Cognition, 2, 201-205. https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03208982
Education
1975 Ph.D., Psychology, The Hebrew University
1972 MS, Psychology, The Hebrew University
1967 BS, Mathematics and Psychology, Wayne State University
Affiliations
Media mentions
Science
Fischhoff remembers late mentor Kahneman
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff wrote a retrospective for Science on the late Daniel Kahneman, Nobel prize-winning psychologist and author of works including Thinking, Fast and Slow.
The Washington Post
Fischhoff talks to The Washington Post about how social science intersects with climate change
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff talks to The Washington Post about how social science intersects with climate change. “We basically were no longer at the table for the next quarter-century,” he says. “The natural scientists trusted their story would tell [itself]. … We blew it.”
STAT News
Fischhoff publishes op-ed in STAT News on prescription information
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff published an op-ed in STAT News regarding prescription information and the FDA’s involvement.
The New York Times
Fischhoff comments on nuclear scenarios and decision making
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff comments on nuclear scenarios and decision making in The New York Times. “To go from there to giving advice on the fate of the world—I don’t think so,” he says.
NBC News
Fischhoff comments on country’s response to natural disasters
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff says the Maui fires have revealed the country’s ability to handle extreme weather events.
USA Today
Fischhoff contributes to book on COVID response
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff, as part of a coalition of interdisciplinary experts known as the COVID Crisis Group, has released a book analyzing the US pandemic response and making recommendations to be better prepared for the future.
Stat News
Fischhoff publishes an article on randomized control trial efficacy in Stat News
Fischhoff recently co-authored an article that was published in Stat News on randomized control trial efficacy and the test’s implications during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Christian Monitor
Fischhoff talks to The Christian Science Monitor about lessons learned from COVID-19
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff talks to The Christian Science Monitor about COVID-19 and the lessons we learned about the way the pandemic was handled.
CMU Engineering
Fischhoff co-authors report on lessons from COVID
Baruch Fischhoff co-authored The COVID War, a book evaluating the effectiveness of the government’s COVID response efforts.
Engineering and Public Policy
Fischhoff selected to give Clarendon Lectures in Management Studies
Professor Baruch Fischhoff has been selected to give this year's Clarendon Lectures in Management Studies at Oxford University.
Toronto Sun
Fischhoff discusses indecision and intelligence
In the Toronto Sun, EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff commented on a study showing that indecision might be a sign of intelligence.
Bloomberg
Fischhoff quoted on CDC Covid response
EPP’s Baruch Fischhoff spoke with Bloomberg about the CDC’s response to Covid. He says that the CDC did not do enough to give people detailed information about Covid risks.